Strategy to sell Bitcoin triggers $20 million prediction pool controversy on Polymarket

According to The Block, Strategy disclosed in SEC filings that it sold 32 BTC between May 26 and 31, cashing out approximately $2.5 million to pay for preferred stock dividends, marking the company's first sale of Bitcoin since December 2022.

This disclosure has sparked controversy over a prediction pool on Polymarket with a trading volume exceeding $20 million—where the market bets on whether Strategy will sell Bitcoin before May 31. The crux of the dispute lies in: supporters of "yes" argue that the sale occurred before the deadline; supporters of "no" contend that the information had not been publicly disclosed by the time the market closed and should not be counted.

The market is currently in the final review stage, with Polymarket adding that "results confirmed after the deadline will not be recognized," leaning towards supporting the "no" side. If the dispute escalates further, it will be decided by a vote of UMA token holders, but previous reports have indicated that UMA voting power is highly concentrated, with over 60% of active voters having ties to Polymarket accounts, raising questions about its fairness.